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Bitcoin Halving Cycle Received’t Damage Costs In 2025, SC Says

World financial institution Commonplace Chartered is bullish on Bitcoin for the remainder of the yr, citing rising company treasury shopping for and powerful exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows.

Commonplace Chartered expects Bitcoin (BTC) to print new highs of $135,000 by the top of the third quarter after which break $200,000 by the top of the yr, the financial institution’s digital asset analysis head, Geoff Kendrick, stated in a Wednesday report shared with Cointelegraph.

“Due to elevated investor flows, we consider BTC has moved past the earlier dynamic whereby costs fell 18 months after a ‘halving’ cycle,” Kendrick stated, including that the widespread halving pattern would have led to cost declines in September or October 2025.

An excerpt from Commonplace Chartered’s Bitcoin report issued on Wednesday. Supply: Commonplace Chartered

The most recent report reinforces Commonplace Chartered’s bullishness on Bitcoin, with the financial institution anticipating it to hit $500,000 a coin by 2028.

Bitcoin halving cycle is useless

In his new evaluation, Commonplace Chartered’s Kendrick targeted on the potential impacts of the Bitcoin halving cycle, a worth sample related to BTC halving occasions, which happen about each 4 years.

Chopping the Bitcoin mining reward by 50% every halving, BTC halving occasions have been traditionally linked to each subsequent spikes within the worth and additional corrections.

Whereas the 2 earlier halving cycles in 2016 and 2020 led to Bitcoin costs falling in about 18 months after the halving, the affect of the newest Bitcoin halving in April 2024 will seemingly be totally different on account of new drivers like robust ETF and company shopping for, Kendrick instructed.

Associated: Crypto ETP inflows in H1 2025 down 2.7% from final yr’s $18.3B

“We anticipate costs to renew their uptrend, supported by continued robust ETF and Bitcoin treasury shopping for,” Kendrick wrote within the replace, emphasizing that each of those drivers had been absent within the earlier halving cycles.

On the identical time, Commonplace Chartered nonetheless doesn’t rule out that the worth might be considerably uneven in late Q3 and early This autumn amid considerations in regards to the correction sample from the earlier halvings.

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