Forex

Private survey inventory shows a huge headline crude oil build, much larger than expected


2026-02-24 21:39:00

Via oilprice.com:

Oil markets swung in both directions on Tuesday but ultimately closed lower as signs of improving US-Iran relations weighed on prices. WTI and Brent futures were volatile overnight, briefly edging higher during the European session amid limited oil-specific headlines. Sentiment shifted sharply, however, after Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister stated that Tehran is prepared to take whatever steps are necessary to secure a deal with Washington, while warning that a strike on Iran would be a serious gamble. The remarks pressured crude to intraday lows, with prices continuing to drift lower into the close.

Earlier support had come from comments at the White House suggesting President Trump prioritises diplomacy with Iran, though force remains an option if required. On the supply side, Russia’s Transneft reportedly reduced crude intake by 250,000 barrels per day following an attack on a key pumping station. Meanwhile, Venezuela is said to be preparing larger export cargoes from March, including expanded shipments to India.

Expectations I had seen:

  • headline crude oil +1.5mn barrels
  • distillates -1.6mn bbls
  • gasolina -0.6mn bbls

This data point is from a privately-conducted survey by the American Petroleum Institute (API).

  • It’s a survey of oil storage facilities and companies
  • The official report is due Wednesday morning US time.

The two reports are quite different.

The official government data comes from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)

  • Its based on data from the Department of Energy and other government agencies
  • Whereas information on total crude oil storage levels and variations from the previous week’s levels are both provided by the API report, the EIA report also provides statistics on inputs and outputs from refineries, as well as other significant indicators of the status of the oil market, and storage levels for various grades of crude oil, such as light, medium, and heavy.
  • the EIA report is held to be more accurate and comprehensive than the survey from the API

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