2026-01-16 02:32:00
Improved risk sentiment got traders breaking GBP/AUD’s consolidation pattern!
Will the technical breakout lead to the start of a trend for the currency cross pair?
Here’s what we’re seeing on the 4-hour time frame:
In case you missed it, the British pound got little help from November’s strong GDP print, as traders looked past the headline and focused on the mixed details and uncertainty heading into the year ahead.
Meanwhile, commodity-linked risk currencies like the Australian dollar found support as U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions eased and stronger U.S. data helped lift overall risk appetite.
Remember that directional biases and volatility conditions in market price are typically driven by fundamentals. If you haven’t yet done your homework on the British pound and the Australian dollar, then it’s time to check out the economic calendar and stay updated on daily fundamental news!
GBP/AUD ran into resistance near 2.0140 and sold off sharply over the past few sessions, drawing in enough bearish interest to push the pair below the 2.0000 psychological handle.
The move is notable because the 2.0000 area also lines up with the bottom of a descending triangle that has been holding since late October, putting the price at an important technical juncture.
Sustained trading below 2.0000 could attract additional bearish pressure and open the door for a move toward lower inflection points like 1.9900 or even 1.9850.
Still, this pullback may end up being a temporary pause. A stretch of bullish candlesticks and a steady hold back above 2.0000 could set the stage for another upswing, with the next area of resistance sitting near the 2.0100 trend line around the 100 and 200 SMAs on the 4-hour chart.
Whichever bias you end up trading, don’t forget to practice proper risk management and stay aware of top-tier catalysts that could influence overall market sentiment.
Disclaimer:
Please be aware that the technical analysis content provided herein is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be construed as trading advice or a suggestion of any specific directional bias. Technical analysis is just one aspect of a comprehensive trading strategy. The technical setups discussed are intended to highlight potential areas of interest that other traders may be observing. Ultimately, all trading decisions, risk management strategies, and their resulting outcomes are the sole responsibility of each individual trader. Please trade responsibly.
