Key takeaways:
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Previous SOL/BTC golden crosses preceded 1,000% rallies within the SOL/USD pair.
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Altseason backdrop and almost $3 billion in new treasury buys increase Solana’s upside case.
Solana (SOL) is flashing a uncommon golden cross versus Bitcoin (BTC), a setup that has traditionally fueled parabolic rallies in each BTC and US greenback phrases.
Earlier SOL golden crosses preceded 1,000% positive factors
As of Thursday, SOL/BTC’s 50-day easy transferring common (50-day SMA; the crimson wave) was on track to climb above the 200-day SMA (the blue wave), confirming a golden cross sample.
“We’ve seen this play earlier than… 2021, 2023, and now establishing once more in 2025,” says analyst Ran Neuner, and that the setup is “screaming [for] a serious transfer in SOL.“
In early 2021, SOL/BTC’s first golden cross fueled an roughly 1,900% breakout in opposition to Bitcoin. The second cross in mid-2023 produced the same end result.
Furthermore, SOL/BTC’s rise coincided with main rallies within the SOL/USD pair. For example, Solana gained 1,890% in opposition to the US greenback, climbing from $13 to over $260, after SOL/BTC’s golden cross affirmation in 2021.
Solana gained over 1,000%, rebounding from round $20 to above $250, after the second SOL/BTC golden cross in 2023.
These SOL/USD and SOL/BTC bull runs have beforehand coincided with broader “altseasons,” when capital rotates from Bitcoin into high-beta tokens.
In 2021, Solana’s breakout got here in the course of the DeFi increase that lifted the whole altcoin market. In 2023, the transfer adopted the same script as post-FTX restoration liquidity flowed into altcoins.
This 12 months, the backdrop seems to be equally supportive. Ether (ETH) has already outperformed Bitcoin in latest months, typically seen as an early signal of altseason power.
On the identical time, historic Bitcoin halving fractals recommend liquidity growth and capital rotation usually speed up over a 12 months after the halving, a sample that would as soon as once more set the stage for a serious Solana rally.
Solana megaphone sample hints at $300
Solana (SOL) is buying and selling inside a broadening wedge, or megaphone sample, with the higher trendline aligning close to the $295–$300 zone as the subsequent main resistance by October.
The setup comes as SOL/USD holds comfortably above its 50-week and 200-week EMAs, whereas the weekly RSI stays bullish at 61, suggesting additional upside momentum.
Fibonacci retracement ranges additionally reinforce the $295 space as a important breakout level.
Basically, Solana’s outlook is supported by information of rising demand from company treasuries.
This week, Galaxy Digital, Leap Crypto, and Multicoin Capital revealed plans to lift over $1 billion for a Solana treasury fund backed by the Solana Basis.
Sharps Know-how has additionally dedicated $400 million to its Solana reserves, whereas Pantera Capital is pursuing a $1.25 billion Solana-focused car.
Associated: Solana wants three catalysts to push SOL past $200 towards $250
Collectively, these strikes signify almost $3 billion in potential new demand for institutional portfolios. Which will additional increase SOL’s potential to hit $300 within the coming weeks.
This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.
