Key takeaways:
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After dropping 19% in three weeks, XRP faces sturdy resistance at $3.10-$3.00, with key help at $2.65.
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Whales have offloaded over 640 million XRP tokens since July 9.
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$2.65 aligns with the quarterly VWAP and 0.50 Fibonacci retracement: a drop beneath might undo the Q3 rally.
XRP (XRP) is present process a pointy correction after rallying to a yearly excessive of $3.65 on July 18. Since then, it’s down practically 19%, struggling to reclaim the $3.10–$3.00 resistance zone.
On Saturday, costs briefly dipped to a key help vary between $2.66 and $2.80 earlier than bouncing again on Sunday, forming the next low.
Knowledge from CryptoQuant knowledge signifies that the retracement seems to be pushed partially by giant holders exiting the market.
Associated: XRP custody goes reside for Korean establishments by way of BDACS amid ‘sturdy curiosity’
Over the previous three weeks, XRP whale wallets, addresses holding vital quantities of XRP, have been steadily offloading their positions.
Between July 9 and Aug. 5, the 90-day transferring common of whale netflows is at present adverse 640 million XRP (valued at roughly $340 million), suggesting sustained distribution strain that coincides with the current worth hunch.
Analyzing XRP’s every day chart, outstanding crypto dealer Nebraskangooner says the altcoin might face a “full pump retrace,” a transfer the place costs might revisit the bottom of the earlier rally at $2.
XRP should maintain $2.65 for an opportunity at new highs
The $2.65 stage is essential for XRP’s bullish market construction. The chart reveals that this stage beforehand acted as a major resistance all through H1 2025.
After lastly breaking above in July, it flipped into sturdy help, a technical shift in construction. A sustained maintain above this stage is important to protect the uptrend narrative.
Crypto analyst Dom says that XRP was in a position to retain $2.80, a key preliminary space of curiosity, and at present steers away from $2.65, which aligns with the quarterly VWAP (Quantity-Weighted Common Value).
Associated: Will XRP repeat its 70% rally? Value nears traditional fractal breakout
VWAP represents the typical worth of an asset traded over a interval, weighted by quantity, and is usually utilized by merchants to evaluate honest worth.
Dom cautions that any transfer beneath this zone would severely injury the chart, probably invalidating short-term bullish continuation setups.
Moreover, technical analyst Thoughts Dealer says that XRP has accomplished a 50% Fibonacci retracement from its $3.65 excessive. Traditionally, if the 50% stage holds, a renewed push might goal $4.15, i.e, a brand new all-time excessive.
Nevertheless, if XRP breaks beneath $2.65, it dangers slipping again into its earlier vary and probably retesting $2, basically undoing months of positive aspects and signaling broader weak spot.
This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.
