On the floor, the crypto market barely moved within the first half of 2025.
Regardless of all of the tantrum about tariffs, impending recession, struggle, and heightened expectations of crypto pleasant insurance policies and a digital asset strategic reserve with Donald Trump’s return to the White Home, the overall market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, measured by TradingView, inched up a measly 3% to $3.27 trillion over the previous six months.
Trying nearer, the efficiency was starkly uneven, with bitcoin
holding up the remainder of the market.
BTC climbed 13% within the first six months of 2025, persevering with to outshine the broader market. In the meantime, Ethereum’s ether
, the second-largest crypto asset, tumbled 25%, and Solana shed almost 17%.
Smaller and riskier tokens endured even sharper losses: the OTHERS index on TradingView, which excludes the ten largest property by market cap, plunged 30%.
What’s subsequent?
Regardless of the modest begin to the yr, some analysts see room for renewed upside. Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group, famous that July has traditionally been a robust month for crypto, averaging 7.56% returns since 2013.
“We enter a interval that has historically delivered stronger returns,” mentioned Kruger. “With the second half of the yr traditionally producing outsized positive factors, the broader setup stays encouraging.”
Kruger additionally highlighted that the crypto treasury technique development is more and more increasing past bitcoin, with companies asserting plans to build up digital property like ETH.
Coinbase analysts additionally maintained a constructive outlook for crypto by way of the second half of the yr, pushed by favorable macroeconomic backdrop, potential charge cuts by the Federal Reserve and rising regulatory readability within the U.S. with lawmakers advancing laws for stablecoins and the broader crypto market construction.
Nonetheless, the subsequent couple months might be lackluster, Bitfinex analysts warned. The subsequent quarter-year beginning with July has been traditionally the weakest for bitcoin, averaging solely 6% positive factors since 2013, they mentioned in a Monday report.
“That is additionally the place common volatility is subdued, including to our bias of vary certain value motion persevering with for longer,” the authors famous.
